On tap: interesting and challenging 
year for Congressman Scott Tipton

“I don’t mind what Congress does, as long as they don’t do it in the streets and frighten the horses.” — Victor Hugo.

Pity our poor Congressman Scott Tipton. Seems he took it from both sides at his town hall meeting last Friday here in Grand Junction because of public dissatisfaction over the recent federal-government shutdown that was led by GOP House members, including Tipton.

According to Tipton, his vote to end the shutdown was driven by political and constitutional realities and the fact that “the tactic was not working.” Too bad he didn’t recognize that earlier, before GOP stubbornness prompted the shutdown of national parks and monuments, affected commercial logging on public lands, raised concerns among veterans and others about benefit payments and otherwise impacted his constituents.

No matter which poll you choose, the Republican “brand” has declined significantly because of the obstinacy of Tipton and his fellow House Republicans. Both parties have been hurt, but every single poll conducted during and after the shutdown has shown the GOP to have suffered more than Democrats or President Barack Obama.

There are a couple of other surveys that might concern Tipton and his supporters.

One, released last week, shows 77 percent of sampled voters in the 3rd Congressional District support the sort of immigration reform advanced by the Senate and opposed by the House majority, including Tipton. That puts him at odds with agricultural and resort employers in his district, both Republican and Democrat. Straying from the House GOP line would cause problems with the more conservative chunk of his base, as did his vote to end the shutdown.

Then there’s the survey released early last week by Public Policy Polling, pegging Tipton’s approval rating in his district at 28 percent, with 51 percent of the constituents surveyed saying they disapprove of his performance as their congressman. More than half of those polled thought the shutdown was bad and would make it less likely they’d vote for him. Fifty percent of those surveyed would support a “generic” Democrat.

The immigration poll was conducted for supporters of reform and Public Policy Polling did its survey for left-leaning MoveOn.org. But when you dig into questions posed, they were very straightforward, in no way a “push poll.”

It’s also way too early for anti-Tipton folks to celebrate.

The next congressional election is a year away. Much can happen, good and bad, for Tipton during that time, and other polls in coming months will gauge the impacts. And, as politicians reliably say, the only poll that counts is the one on Election Day.

Also a factor is the truism that you can’t beat somebody with nobody. There’ll be no generic Democrat on the ballot hoping to cash in on that 50 percent support found by Public Policy Polling. It’ll have to be a real flesh-and-blood Dem, and, so far, no one’s stepped up.

If there’s to be a serious effort mounted by Democrats, they need a competitive candidate or two to throw their hats in the ring in the next couple of months. Andrew Romanoff already has Mike Coffman running scared in suburban Denver’s newly-competitive 6th District. It’ll take that kind of concerted effort, and fundraising, by a name candidate in the 3rd.

There’ll also be other Tipton town hall meetings in the next 12 months, sessions where he’s predictably challenged by Democrats but has a choice to make regarding criticism from his fellow Republicans.

He can continue to toe the far right-Tea Party line and accept the negative image of those who prefer political posturing over actual governing. Or he can listen to folks like Olathe Sweet corn producer John Harold up in Olathe or Mesa County’s own Talbot family and move toward the middle on immigration reform.

He can be in the majority on 40 more futile House votes to repeal Obamacare, or he can follow the lead of eight GOP governors and the health care providers and insurers in his own district who are working hard toward implementation.

He can regurgitate conservative talking points or seek bipartisan compromise in upcoming budget and debt limit talks.

We’ll see how his choices play out next year.

Jim Spehar’s glad he’s just an observer these days when it comes to politics. Your thoughts are welcome at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).


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PART 1. I do not rise in defense of Scott Tipton. I view politics, especially so-called duopoly (Democrat versus Republican) politics — which is person/group A trying to get person/group B to obey the will of A — as little more than a too-close-for-comfort relative of asinine high school homeroom popularity contests. Unfortunately there are a couple of inescapable political truisms (the second already noted by Spehar): 1) those who refuse to get involved in politics are destined to be ruled by their inferiors, and 2) you can’t beat somebody with nobody. Therefore I rise to point out the flaws in Jim Spehar’s typically manipulative “leftist” style of political communication.
Since so-called “leftists” or “liberals” are generally logic-and-ammunition-challenged in the war of real ideas, they almost inevitably resort to cleverly coded forms of speech designed to camouflage blatant ad hominem fallacies in ways subtle enough they hope the reader won’t recognize them for what they are.
In the case of his latest column, I refer to phrases such as, “the Republican ‘brand’ has declined significantly because of … obstinacy,” “the House GOP line,” “a competitive candidate,” “toe the far right Tea Party line,” “the negative image of those who prefer political posturing over actual governing,” “regurgitate conservative talking points,” or “seek bipartisan compromise,” ad infinitum. All that is missing are such brilliant leftist inventions as “for the children,” “doom and gloomers,” “birthers,” “truthers” and “tinfoil hat wearers,” ad infinitum.
All this blather in support of the self-evidently unsustainable fraud best known by the euphemism “Obamacare” which Scott Tipton seems to be too involved in party politics to oppose with as much determination and vigor as humanly possible. So he’s lost votes.
Now lets add a bit context to all this giddy frivolity of language. Decades ago the United States suffered a coup d’état by global debt-as-money scammers against the U.S. Constitution which is now de facto dead. That’s why police-state “law” enforcement officers are free to kill innocent people in warrantless, wrong-address no-knock raids without consequence. That’s why the NSA is spying on everybody. Your average duopoly political hack such as Jim Spehar (or you fill in the blank) couldn’t care less. Most of them are all about being cutesy and clever and winning elections and attaining inherently evil and inevitably corrupting One-Ring government power so they and their cronies can make money off of the clueless taxpayers. That’s why you see millions of dollars being spent on projects which the voters turned down.

PART 2. In his 1946 essay, “Politics and the English Language,” George Orwell said, “The great enemy of clear language is insincerity. When there is a gap between one’s real and one’s declared aims, one turns as it were instinctively to long words and exhausted idioms, like a cuttlefish spurting out ink. In our age there is no such thing as ‘keeping out of politics.’ All issues are political issues, and politics itself is a mass of lies, evasions, folly, hatred, and schizophrenia.”
So, now, let me see if I have this right. There’s NSA, 9-11, JFK (80% of Americans don’t believe the government’s story), RFK, MLK, TWA800, OKC, the battleship U.S.S. Maine, Pearl Harbor, Gulf of Tonkin, endless other “false flag” operations, Waco, Ruby Ridge, $1.5 quadrillion in phony derivatives, $120+ trillion in unfunded liabilities, $17+ trillion in fraudulent national debt, “QE Infinity” among countless other examples — plus there is an ongoing global currency war in which 80% bail-in “haircuts” and $50,000/oz gold are on the horizon, but Spehar et ilk are going to use cutesy coded language to entertain us local yokels.
“A competitive candidate” means one who is willing to play footsy with the global criminal debt-as-money cabal. “Toe the far right Tea Party line,” “the negative image of those who prefer political posturing over actual governing,” and “regurgitate conservative talking points” mean anybody who happens to disagree with Spehar’s world view and/or political and economic agenda/s. “Seek bipartisan compromise” and “actual governing” mean conspiring with corrupt and intellectually dishonest duopoly cronies to rob the clueless and gullible freebie-addicted taxpayers. How wonderfully articulate and enlightening.
For any person who wants to understand what is going on, I highly recommend watching Greg Hunter’s excellent interview with world-class economist, investor and gold expert Jim Sinclair at http://bit.ly/17w4Nhx and http://www.jsmineset.com. I also highly recommend reading George Orwell’s 1946 Essay, “Politics and the English Language” at https://www.mtholyoke.edu/acad/intrel/orwell46.htm.

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