Trump stands to win Colorado
The first debate of the century is behind us and the national media is once again able to enjoy its favorite pastime, analyzing what each other thinks and describing to people who already saw the event, what it looked like.
I watched and admit that I found it mostly enjoyable and like most of you I’m certain your first thought was, like mine: “She looks so lifelike.”
The presentation was certainly far ahead of what you see down in Orlando at Disney World although whoever was handling the smile effect probably needs to do a little more work — it still seemed more like a reaction to an electrical shock than amusement.
I’m certain everyone had their favorite moments. For Trump, mine was when, in the middle of his debate for the presidency, he took a little time out to do some advertising for his new hotel in Washington D.C., which is going to be near the White House and probably will feature the newest in secure internet communications
Perhaps when Mrs. Clinton visits the area, she can stay there and exchange emails about yoga with her friends in the Middle East, without worrying about those pesky hackers.
For Secretary Clinton, I thought the moment which really stood out was her description of her family life as a child, with her father, who I believe was Geppetto maybe. I didn’t quite catch it but I think he was a poor woodworker who made puppets or something and one of them wanted to be a real boy. I may be getting that mixed up but it was that sort of story.
If history is any guide, a presidential debate performance — absent some wild event — doesn’t do anything to move the needle very much for candidates as it just seems to reinforce how most of their supporters feel about the candidate they’ve already chosen.
Although, the first poll taken in North Carolina the next day showed Clinton losing ground but that’s been the direction she’s been headed for a while, so it’s difficult to say the debate had much to do with it.
There was oddly surprising alarm from some, that the media commentators thought Hillary had done just dandy, but poll after poll of likely voters were showing about a 60/40 advantage to Mr. Trump in the perception of debate performance.
Even Time magazine online, an extremely not-a-conservative publication or blog or whatever it is now, showed about the same ratio in favor of Mr. Trump.
Had they not fallen on such hard times and been forced to move into a garden-level apartment, I’m certain some of their editors would have flung themselves from the windows at the result.
This discussion of polls brings us to Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS’s recent stab at political opinion sampling, coming back with a result showing Mr. Trump at 35 percent support.
Pretty remarkable — that is if the remark you want to make is that it is completely out of line with any other national polling, like on Tuesday, with the RealClear Politics average of polls for Colorado showing Donald Trump leading Mrs. Clinton in the state by 0.5 percent Not exactly a landslide but wildly inconsistent with the CMU/PBS result.
Likewise Quinnipiac polling, done the same time as the CMU/PBS results, indicated the candidates tied at 47 percent.
My first thought was, “Oh no, has the university reached a size that its components start behaving like many of the larger colleges.”
Are we going to begin to see taped-off “safe zones” to protect students from uncomfortable viewpoints or start hearing about ‘privilege” and having people find “micro aggressions” in the course descriptions?
I hope not, I like to think they just made a mistake and called the only remaining payphone on the Boulder Mall and talked to whoever answered.
This is a continuing problem for the Trump campaign in Colorado, however — the fostering of a perception that the state is not in play for Trump, when it not only is in play but recently, as we noted, is trending toward his candidacy.
This often results in potential volunteers feeling their work isn’t going to matter. The reality is quite the contrary. Trump stands a good chance to win the state as things stand now and it probably will get even more likely — with a little bit of work.