Broncos’ NFL draft never easy to predict
Tonight in New York City, National Football League Commissioner Roger Goodell will stroll to the microphone and say …
Scenario No. 1: “The Carolina Panthers, with the first selection in the National Football League draft, take Cam Newton, quarterback, Auburn. The Denver Broncos are on the clock. “
The Broncos, having gone through the process of ranking more than 190 players according to their own scouts and staff — not the myriad of other NFL personnel wannabes — have 10 minutes to make a decision on which player to take. It doesn’t take nearly that long.
“With the second selection of Round 1, the Denver Broncos select defensive tackle Marcell Dareus of Alabama,” says Goodell in his best official tone.
Scenario No. 2: “The Carolina Panthers, with the first selection in the National Football League draft, take Marcell Dareus, Alabama defensive tackle. The Denver Broncos are on the clock,” says Goodell with just a hint of raised a eyebrow.
There is now a bit more quick conversation in the Bronco war room at Dove Valley — but this move by the Panthers is certainly not unexpected and, again, in less than 10 minutes, the Broncos trot their selection card up to the podium and Goodell announces with a bit of a smirk, “The Denver Broncos, with the second pick in the NFL draft, select Nick Fairley, defensive tackle from Auburn. “
Scenario Nos. 3 and 4, with Dareus being chosen by the Panthers: “The Denver Broncos, with the second pick select Patrick Peterson, defensive back, Louisiana State (or) Von Miller, linebacker, Texas A&M.
All of the above scenarios are rather cut and dried, all according to Hoyle.
However, it isn’t that simple … ever. We all know the NFL draft doesn’t work that way.
For one thing, NFL front office types ranging from owners to team presidents to general managers to coaches are notorious liars when it comes to announcing draft intentions. And rightfully so. This is as competitive as it gets and every advantage needs be taken. It is Liar’s Poker at the highest level.
And things would be far more complicated in this particular draft — one in which there are defensive stars galore, no surefire-star quarterbacks or running backs and a rather meager supply of offensive linemen — if the teams were able to peddle veterans for draft picks (a no-no this time around because of the owner vs. player legal stalemate).
Let’s say Denver was sold on Tim Tebow as its savior and wanted to trade quarterback Kyle Orton. They might add to their already impressive haul of second- and third-round picks or load up at the rear end of the draft.
What if the new front office and coaching staff brass have already decided Tebow is not their guy, not now, not ever? Ditto the draft pick swapping.
Won’t happen this time around, however.
The one thing that might happen tonight is some team desperately in need of a Newton or the other featured quarterback, Missouri’s Blaine Gabbert (ranked far ahead of Newton in most scouting reports in terms of NFL skills), gets antsy and calls Denver. Which leads to …
Scenario No. 5: “There has been a trade. Arizona and Denver have swapped the second and fifth picks in the first round. Denver also acquires the fifth pick in the third round (69 overall) and the fifth pick in the fifth round (136 overall). Arizona takes quarterback Blaine Gabbert of Missouri with the second pick. “
Roughly one hour later:“There has been a trade. Denver and Houston have traded the fifth and 11th picks of the first round. Denver also acquires the ninth pick of the third round (73 overall) and the eighth pick of the fourth round (105th overall). “
Roughly one more hour later, “With the 11th pick in the first round of the NFL draft, the Denver Broncos select Nick Fairley, defensive tackle, Auburn. “
The following two days: “Denver, with the 36th pick overall takes safety Rahim Moore of UCLA; Denver with the 46th pick overall selects defensive tackle Phil Taylor of Baylor; Denver with the 67thpick overall selects Marcus Cannon, offensive tackle from Texas Christian; Denver with the 69th pick overall takes Daniel Thomas, running back from Kansas State; Denver with the 73rd pick overall selects Terrell McClain, defensive tackle from Tennessee; Denver with the 105thpick overall drafts Quinton Carter, safety from Oklahoma; Denver with the 136th pick overall takes linebacker Casey Mathews from Oregon; Denver with the 189th pick overall takes offensive tackle DeMarcus Love of Arkansas; and Denver with the 247th pick overall takes Miles Stroter, offensive tackle from Morehouse.
There you have it.
Three days of draft work, not quite carved in stone.
And we’re ready for the Raiders on opening Monday Night.